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Arsenal/Cardiff FA Cup replay

The stats strongly suggest an Arsenal victory tonight as Premier League sides have hosted Championship teams in 21 FA Cup replays since 2001/02 and the higher-rated team has progressed 18 times (W17-D2-L2), with the double result (W/W) occurring on 14 occasions.

However, without key players such as Fabregas and Walcott, Arsenal are not firing and it could pay to bet on the draw at 16/5 with BetUK. The Londoners have won just 4 out of 10 games since Fabregas’ injury in December and have scored just one goal in their last four fixtures.

If Arsenal are going to win they might just squeak it 1-0, a scoreline that can be backed at 11/2.

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