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Goals expected in Hamburg v Werder Bremen

Hamburg have a big advantage in their Uefa Cup semi-final against Werder Bremen tonight (7.45pm, ITV4), although they could have increased their 1-0 lead in the away leg had Ivica Olic not had two efforts well-saved by Werder Bremen’s in-form goalkeeper Tim Wiese.

It was a disappointing effort from Bremen, whose disappointing league campaign continued with a 1-0 loss at Cologne last weekend. Coach Thomas Schaaf has admitted his players are tired, but will they have enough in the tank for one final onslaught with a trip to Istanbul the prize? We doubt it.
On current form, Hamburg have the momentum and the fact that they are still competing for the Bundesliga title has helped them find and keep to a rhythm in their play. Bremen, on the other hand, are stuck in mid-table and struggled to raise their level in the first leg.

Hamburg, though, are still missing Mladen Petric through injury and are another striker short after Jose Paolo Guerrero picked up a second yellow card. But as a team, they are playing on a different plane to Bremen at the moment, and although Diego is always capable of conjuring a goal out of nothing, we expect the hosts to add to their advantage in what will be an open game.

As Bremen have nothing left to play for and have to go for broke we believe there will be plenty of goals. Our main recommendation is therefore on backing over 2.5/3 goals with BetUK at evens. Alternatively, backing Hamburg/Hamburg in the Half-Time/Full-time market at 7/2 is also tempting.

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